本文使用实验经济学的方法研究了匿名交易市场中的融资行为,并检验了不同财富约束条件下融资啄序和市场择时理论的预测能力。在行为元素的提炼过程中,市场择时理论的预见在财富约束程度小于50%时得到了支持,此时行为人会根据市场时机选择最有利的融资方式;而融资啄序理论在财富约束程度大于50%时得到了验证。本文还发现人们的融资行为有较强的策略性合作倾向,受到收益波动程度的调节作用;融资方的二阶信念对他的风险态度与决策有部分中介效应。
Using the approach of Experimental Economics, we designing an experiment to study financing behavior in an anonymous market and test the pecking order theory and market timing theory. Results suggest that market timing theory predict people will behavior according to the market timing is supported while the pecking order theory only being supported in condition of no more than 50% wealth constraint. We also find financial behavior is a strategic behavior in which the degree of return volatility plays a role of moderation and the decision of investors play a partial mediation role.