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中文摘要：
随着我国的经济的快速发展、农村居民生活水平的逐步提高，农民的粮食消费状况出现一些新的特点和发展趋势。采用1993--2009年的国家统计年鉴数据，运用统计分析与计量分析相结合的方法对我国农村居民粮食消费情况进行历史状况分析、实证分析及预测模型的构建，预测了我国农村居民未来20年的人均直接、间接粮食消费量以及总量，据此提出提高我国农村居民基本营养水平、改善营养结构和保障粮食安全的政策措施。
英文摘要：
In recent years,with the rapid development of China＇s economy and constant improvement of rural residents, living standards, some new features and developmental trends of farmers, grain consumption have appeared. Based on the statistical data from 1993 to 2009, the grain consumption of rural residents was surveyed with the help of such methods as historical analysis, empirical analysis, fore- cast model and quantitative analysis. Accordingly, this paper predicted the direct and indirect grain con- sumption per person for rural residents in China in the next 20 years. This paper finally put forward poli- cies and corresponding measurements on how to enhance the basic nutrition, improve nutrient structure and ensure food security for rural residents.
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