中文摘要：

基于入境旅游市场的属性结构视角，提出入境旅游自然性、竞争性和混合性市场及这三种增长的概念。根据2001--2015年我国入境外国旅游者总人次与目的结构数据，采用增量占比法对2002--2015年我国入境旅游市场自然性增长的历时性与结构演变进行分析，最终得出近14年我国入境旅游市场的增长主要得益于自然性增长，增量占比年均为50．33％，大国优势是促成这一增长特征的主要原因，且未来很长时间内这一格局不会发生明显改变。从目的结构来看，自然性增长主要源自其他、会议／商务、服务员工旅游群体的增长；从目的与空间交叉分析来看，自然性增长多来自亚洲主要客源国但国别间呈现出明显差异，我国得天独厚的地缘优势和“主、客”双边关系差异是导致这一特征的主要原因。

英文摘要：

This paper based on the attribute structure perspective of inbound tourism market, put forward the concepts of inbound tourism natural- ness, competitive ,mixed market and the growth of the three. According to the data of inbound foreign tourists and purpose structure from 2001 to 2015, using the increment of analogy method, analyzed the natural growth and time evolution of China＇s inbound tourism for these years, and finally concluded that for nearly 14 years, the growth of the inbound tourism market in China was mainly to natural growth, grew by an average of 50.33 % a year, the advantage of a bog country was the main reason of the result and it would not change for a longtime in the future. In purpose structure, natu- ral growth was mainly from the groyvth of others, conference and business, staff travel groups, from the cross analysis of purpose and space, the natural growth came from Asian tourists＇ and had sharp distinction between the countries, the unique geographical advantages of China and the bilateral rela- tions was the main reason for this feature.