文章选取1996-2016年相关时间序列数据为样本,采用协整检验、格兰杰因果关系检验、脉冲响应等方法研究了城镇化水平、农民受教育程度、产业结构、财政支农和农民工就业规模对于城乡收入差距的影响,结果表明:各变量与城乡收入差距之间存在长期均衡关系和短期动态调整的特征。其中城镇化水平和城乡收入差距呈倒U型关系,目前我国的城镇化水平对于收入差距的影响正处于倒U型的顶部的转折期。城镇化水平、农民受教育程度和农民工数量是城乡收入差距的格兰杰原因。城乡收入差距受到城镇化水平的冲击后,先变大但最终减小。最后针对文章得出的结论提出了缩小城乡收入差距的相关政策性建议。
This paper selects the relevant time series data from 1996 to 2016 as samples, and studys the level of urbanization, farmers affected by education level, industrial structure, financial support for agriculture and migrant workers employment scale for the income gap between urban and rural areas by cointegration test, Grainger Granger causality test, impulse response method. The result shows there are long-term equilibrium relationship and short-term dynamic adjustment between each variable and urban-rural income gap and the level of urbanization and urban-rural income gap is inverted "U" type relationship, the influence of the urbanization level on the income gap is at the top of the inverted "U" pattern now. The level of urbanization, the degree of farmers' education and the number of migrant workers are the Grainger reasons for the income gap between urban and rural areas. The income gap between urban and rural areas has become larger, but eventually decreased after the impact of Urbanization. At the end of this paper some advisable suggestions for this articles research result are offered.