有关产业转移对承接地和转出地环境影响的研究一直存在较大争议。以皖江城市带承接产业转移示范区为分析对象,采用倾向得分匹配法评估、分析示范区建立对承接地和转出地的生态环境影响,实证得出结论:产业转移示范区的建立对承接地(皖江区域)的环境影响显著为正,而对主要转出地(长三角地区)的环境影响部分显著为正。因此,实施产业转移并不一定会使承接地的环境恶化,只要加强转移进入门槛和环境管制,承接地和转出地通过科学有效的产业转移可以实现环境“双赢”。
This paper uses propensity score matching to assess the environmental impact of demonstration zone established for the transfer-area and undertake-area using a quasi natural experiment which Wan-Jiang City Belt of Industrial Transfer Demonstration Zone was established in 2010 . Through the empirical anal-ysis to make conclusion:the environmental impact to the undertake-area( Wan-Jiang Zone )of the estab-lishment of Industrial Transfer Demonstration Zone is significantly positive,while the environmental impact of major exporter( the Yangtze River Delta region)is part of the significantly positive. Therefore,the implemen-tation of industrial transfer does not necessarily make the undertake-area environmental degradation. As long as strengthen the transfer of barriers to entry and environmental regulation,achieving environmental“win-win”situation of transfer -area and undertake-area is possible by industrial transfer.