本文通过定量测度中国33个工业行业技术进步偏向的方向和程度,对各行业技术进步适宜性进行了评价。在此基础上,通过构建一个刻画工业结构变动特征的面板数据模型,实证分析了各工业行业技术进步偏向特征对技术创新驱动产业结构升级作用的影响效果。研究结果表明.1994--2013年中国各工业行业技术进步的偏向方向和程度有所差异;与各行业要素禀赋结构变动特征相比,中国工业部门内部存在一定程度的技术失衡。中国工业行业的创新投入结构对工业结构调整有显著的引致效应。技术进步的适宜程度将直接影响创新投入驱动工业结构调整的效率.依据要素禀赋结构进行技术选择和创新投入有助于中国工业行业的有效增长,而与要素禀赋结构相失衡的技术选择将使创新投入驱动工业结构调整的效率大打折扣。引导各工业行业结合自身的资源禀赋特点.进行合理的技术创新选择.将有效提升技术创新驱动工业结构调整的速度。
Through estimating the direction and degree of biased technological progress in the 33 industrial sectors of China, this paper evaluates the results of technological innovation in the industry by combining with the factor endowment structure of each industry. On this basis, this paper constructs panel data model describing the characteristics of industrial structure change and empirically analyzes the influence of the biased technology progress on the effect of technological innovation driven industrial structure upgrading. The major findings are as follows. From 1994 to 2013 in China, the difference in the direction and degree of biased technological progress in the 33 industrial sectors is significant, the biased technology progress of some industrial sectors is unbalanced with its factor endowment structure. Innovation input structure of Chinese industry has caused significant effect on industrial structure adjustment. The suitable degree of technology progress will directly affect the efficiency of innovation driven industrial structure adjustment. The technology progress and innovation investment based on factor endowment structure are helpful to the economic growth of industry. The technological choice with the imbalance of the factor endowment structure will make the efficiency of technological innovation driven industrial structure upgrading greatly reduced. To guide the industry technology innovation with its own characteristics of the factor endowment will effectively improve the speed of the innovation driven industrial structure adjustment.