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中文摘要：
对中国消费结构的变化和现代服务业发展进行了描述,运用逐步回归法、格兰杰因果分析等方法,发现相对发展比较滞后的现代服务业与城乡消费结构之间存在一定程度的相关性,现代服务业在优化消费结构上还有待调整.因此,要从农村消费发展中寻找现代服务业的新动力,政府要加大公共性服务的投入,注重教育、文化娱乐发展.
英文摘要：
The consumption structure changes and the development o{ modern service indus- try, has been analyzed using the stepwise regression, the Granger causality analysis and other methods. It is found that existing correlation between the relatively lag in modern services and the consumption structure. Modern services should be adjusted in order to optimize the consump- tion structure. Thus, the development in the rural consumption is a new impetus to the modern service industry. The government should increase investment in public services, and pay attention to education, culture and entertainment development.
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