鉴于专家团队在应急群体决策过程的重要作用,文章按照排名融合-特征融合-意见融合的次序构建了专家参考咨询工作流程。排名融合结合D—S理论,解决了不同分面获取专家排名存在的冲突。在获取综合排名基础之上,特征融合围绕资源均衡度,通过权重设置和优先级设置揭示了专家内容特征。以专家综合排名mass值为专家意见权重,采用加权平均法描述了专家意见融合过程。最后指出应急参考咨询要将人工评估和机器评估结合在一起,以形成高效科学的参考咨询流程。
Based on the important role of expert team in the process of emergency group decision-making, this paper constructs the working process of expert virtual reference according to the sequence of "ranking fusion-feature fusion-opinion fusion" . The pa- per combines ranking fusion with the D-S theory to solve the conflict of expert ranking obtained from different aspects. Based on the acquisition of comprehensive ranking as well as the feature fusion around the resource equilibrium degree, the paper reveals the con- tent features of expert through the weight setting and priority setting. The paper takes mass value of expert comprehensive ranking as the weight of expert opinion, and describes the process of expert opinion fusion by adopting the weighted average method. Finally, the paper points out that it is necessary to combine the artificial evaluation with the evaluation of machine for the emergency virtual reference, which in order to form efficient and scientific process of virtual reference.