目的 探讨并总结找出一种简单易行判断总体妊娠率下降的方法。方法 计算临床结局稳定时期的平均妊娠率,依据二项分布原理,找出概率不超过5%的至多妊娠数,与每天实际妊娠数对比判断妊娠率是否下降。结果 郑州大学第三附属医院生殖中心2013年上半年的平均妊娠率为56.39%,每天的移植病人数在7-25个之内时,概率不超过5%的至多妊娠数分别1-9个,每天的移植病人数为4-6个时,概率不超过5%的至多妊娠数分别为0。结论 每天实际妊娠数与概率不超过5%的至多妊娠数相比较,可作为一简单易行判断总体妊娠率下降的方法。
Objective To explore a simple method to judge the decreased overall pregnancy rate. Methods According to the theory of binomial distribution,we calculated the average pregnancy rate of a stable period and found the pregnancy numbers of not more than 5% cumulative probability of the underside,then compared with actual pregnancy number to judge the change of the pregnancy rate. Results The average biochemical pregnancy rate in the first half of 2013 in the Reproductive Center of the Third Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University was56. 39%. When the transplanted patient numbers were within 7 to 25 one day,the pregnancy numbers of not more than 5% cumulative probability of the underside were from 1 to 9 and,when transplanted from 4 to 6,the pregnancy numbers were zero. Conclusion Actual pregnancy numbers everyday in comparison with the numbers,to which not more than 5% cumulative probabilities correspond,can be used as a simple method to judge the decreased overall pregnancy rate.