基于新型库兹涅茨模型,利用1998~2013年中国省际面板数据,运用空间计量方法,实证分析了环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC曲线)的存在性以及制度安排对其形状和转折点的影响。研究发现:全国、东部和西部的环境EKC曲线呈现倒U型,中部呈现U型,各区域EKC曲线的转折点差异较大;全国产权制度、分配格局以及环境制度会使倒U型EKC曲线左移,转折点提前到来,市场制度会使U型曲线右移,转折点推迟到来,经济开放的影响尚不明确;各区域不同制度安排下环境EKC曲线的形状和转折点变化差异明显。同时,税收政策、城镇化水平、环境投资以及技术水平都从不同方面对环境污染产生影响;且通过制度创新跨越环境EKC曲线,可以实现经济与环境协同发展。
According to the establishment of new environmental Kuznets model and the introduction of spatial econometric model of environmental pollution,this study analyzes the shape of the EKC curves and the influence of institutional arrangement on the shape and turning points,which is on the basis of Chinese Provincial Panel Data from 1998 to 2013.The empirical results show that there are inverted U-shaped curves in the National,Eastern and Western,there is U-shaped curve in the central,and the turning points of each region are different.The property rights institution,distribution pattern and the environment institution can make the EKC curve move to the left,and the turning point is generated ahead of time.The market institution makes the u-shaped curve move to the right,the turning point is generated in delays.The influence of economic opening is unclear.The difference of the environment Environmental EKC curve shape and turning point is obvious for different institutional arrangements in the eastern,central and western.At the same time,tax policy,urbanization level,the environmental investment and technical level all influence the environmental pollution in different aspects.Therefore,it is necessary to break the environmental resource constraints,crossing the EKC curve of the environment through institutional innovation,and then realize the coordinated development of economy and the environment.