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中文摘要：
高强度客流设施的服务水平评价是2010年上海世博会需要解决的核心问题之一。目前在这方面缺乏相应的理论和技术支撑。提出通过动态模拟出入口广场人群流动的方法来评估入口设施的服务水平。利用VISSIM仿真技术具有的直观、准确、灵活、可重复试验的特点，进行集散设施抽象建模、进出闸机的关键参数校核和集散广场访客行为的模拟。以上南路入口广场客流集散为研究背景，对该入口未来高峰时段的客流进行了模拟，取得了较好的仿真效果。VISSIM仿真模型可满足客流集散仿真的需求。
英文摘要：
Evaluation of the capacity and service level of passenger facilities, which are designed for the aggregation and dispersion of the intensive pedestrian flow, is one of the key problems encountering the EXPO 2010. The simulation of pedestrian flow on the distribution plaza of EXPO 2010 is an important way to address the above issues despite the insufficient theoretical and technical supports in this field. On the basis of the analysis of VISSIM traffic simulation technique, this paper proposes a dynamic simulation of the pedestrian traffic flow to evaluate the efficiency of the infrastructure and the service level at the entrance square. The result proves this technique to be intuitive, exact, agile and suitable for repeated tests. Then taking the entrance square of Shangnan Road Station as an example, this paper predicts the characteristics of the pedestrian traffic flow in future rush hours after calibrating the simulation parameters and the field data, the result is quite satisfactory. Finally, this paper analyzes the characters of the visiting passengers, indicates the key parameters which directly influence the passenger simulation and passage simulation, argues that more attentions shall be paid to the matching capacity of different facilities.
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