大型活动中,异地私人小汽车出行者可分为当日往返与停留多日两种类型.重点针对停留多日的异地私人小汽车出行者,分析了其出行特征及对停车换乘服务的需求特征;利用随机效用理论,建立了停车换乘行为非集计模型.模型的关键变量包括三个:利用P&R系统后的换乘公交的车内时间、停车费的变化量以及郊区新城吸引力指数.指出大型活动期间针对停留多日者的停车换乘设施规划及政策制定必须统筹考虑全程出行链的需求,影响其选择停车换乘的首要因素是郊区新城的吸引力大小.停车换乘配套政策的重点应该是增强郊区新城的吸引力;提出在郊区新城住宿宾馆设置停车换乘点的对策.
During big events,non-local private car travelers can be divided into two types which were returning in one day and in a few days.Focusing on the travelers returning in a few days,the paper analyzed the traveling attributes and requirements for P R.A P R choice behavior disaggregated model was established and calibrated based on random utility theory.The model concludes three variables,which were in-vehicle time of P R transit,diversity of parking fee,and comprehensive attractiveness index for suburban satellite towns comparing to inner city.The results revealed that the planning and policy of P R for travelers returning in a few days should take more consideration on the requirements of the whole traveling chain.The key point is increasing the attractiveness of suburban satellite towns.The suggestion of establishing P R system combining hotels at suburb has been put forward.