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中文摘要：
水资源配置方案评价属于多目标的群决策问题,其特点是具有模糊性、不确定性和多目标性,且其指标的权重对于评价结果的真实性影响较大。一方面为克服水资源配置方案评价过程中各评价指标权重的精确性不足问题,引入证据理论的支持度思想,确定被评价指标在评价集中的可信度,并据此确定指标的权重;另一方面为解决多目标之间因确定性与不确定性而产生矛盾、冲突问题,将集对分析理论引入配置方案综合评价,经过确定被评价方案指标的同一度矩阵,并融合证据理论所确定的权重,最终确定方案的综合排序。通过选取实例进行论证分析,结果表明,采取的集对分析法对评价水资源配置方案是切实可行的,因此集对分析理论可作为一种综合评价水资源配置方案的新方法。
英文摘要：
Evaluation of water resources allocation scheme, featured by ambiguity, uncertainty and multi-objectiv- ity, is one kind of multi-objective group decision making and the authenticity of the evaluation results were great- ly affected by its index weight. In order to overcome the shortage of inaccurately weight of index in the process of evaluation to water resource allocation scheme and to solve the problem of conflict caused by certainty and un- certainty among multi-objectives, each index weight was determined on the basis of the credibility of each evalua- tion index through the evidence theory. The set pair analysis theory was introduced to evaluate the water resourc- es allocation scheme, and the comprehensive ranking of the water resources allocation scheme was finally con- firmed by the determination of the same degree matrix of the evaluation index and the combination with the ob- tained weight of each index. Last, by analyzing a particular example, the results indicated that the set pair analysis method was feasible, so that the theory could be treated as a new method for the evaluation of water resources allocation scheme.
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