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中文摘要：
文中依托全国20省236村2998个农户的调查数据,基于所处区域、个体特征、家庭收入类型、权益保障四个假设,运用Logistic多元线性回归分析,建构影响农民土地流转需求意愿的离散变量模型。研究结果表明：农民所处区域、个体特征和家庭收入类型以及权益保障等因素可以对农民土地流转意愿提供假设证伪。具体而言,东部地区农民土地流转意愿强于中部和西部;年龄层相对较小,文化程度相对较低农民的土地流转意愿较强;农民土地处置权保障度在模型中的系数最高,其对农民土地流转意愿影响最大。因此,农民土地流转模式不能搞＂一刀切＂,政府要尽快厘定农地流转交易主体的产权边界,建构农民社会保障与土地流转的协同机制。
英文摘要：
Relying on the survey data of 20 provinces 236 villages 2998 farmers,based on four assumptions of the individual characteristics,the region,the protection of the rights and interests of family structure,using Logistic multiple linear regression analysis,the discrete variable model which influence the willingness of farmers＇ land circulation was constructed. The results show that the regional farmers,individual characteristics and family structure and the protection of the rights and interests can provide the hypothesis on refutation of the willingness of land transfer. So,the government should respect the farmers＇ desire,explore effective path to promote rural land transfer market,constructing synergistic convergence mechanism of farmers＇ social security system and the land circulation,to make further clarify of the farmland property right transaction system.
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