欢迎您！东篱公司
退出
-
申报数据库
-
立项数据库
-
成果数据库
-
项目获奖数据库
中文摘要：
采用成分数据，利用球面投影降维的方法建立预测模型对2004-2008年东部沿海地区产业结构进行预测分析。结果表明，在预测的5年内中国东部沿海地区产业结构仍为“二、三、一”型，但呈现出不同的发展趋势，一、二产业比重不断下降，第二三产业迅速增跃。在此基础上，对产业结构效益进行评价，指出今后农业劳动力剩余的现象依然存在，二、三产业的就业结构滞后于产业结构，致使产业结构与就业结构不协调。协调东部沿海地区就业结构与产业结构的关系关键要做到农业剩余劳动力合理流动、优化第二产业内部结构、提高第三产业产值和就业比重以增强其竞争力。
英文摘要：
Based on the compositional data of industrial structure from 1990 to 2003, this paper sets up a forecast model and reports on a forecasting analysis of industrial structure in China coastal areas from 2004 to 2008. The study finds that the proportion of industrial structure still is Second Industry 〉 Tertiary Industry 〉 Primary Industry in the next five years, but the trends are different. On the basis of this analysis, the authors evaluate changes of industrial structure benefit in coastal areas, point out agriculture surplus labors will still exist, employment level of Second Industry and Tertiary Industry lags behind the level of industrial structure, which results in the uncoordinated relation between industrial structure and employment structure over the study period. There appears to be considerable potential, therefore, to resolve above questions. Suggestions are put forward： first, rational transfer of China＇s agriculture surplus labors; second, optimizing inner structure of Second Industry; third, enhancing the production value and the employment proportion of Tertiary Industry, and strengthening its competitive ability.
同期刊论文项目
同项目期刊论文
期刊信息
位置：