本文利用1995-2013年海峡两岸水产品贸易数据,通过相关贸易指标,从整体特征、变动特征和边际变动特征三个层面考察两岸水产品贸易结构演化特征.研究结果表明:(1)两岸水产品贸易规模不断扩大、依存度不断提高,台湾对大陆的贸易依存度要大于大陆对台依存度,ECFA签署对两岸水产品贸易促进作用很大;(2)大陆水产品对台出口结构趋于分散,从台进口则日趋集中;(3)两岸水产品贸易以产业间互补为主,产业间贸易是推动两岸水产品贸易增长的主要原因.本文在分析发生原因的基础上提出扩大ECFA早收清单的水产品范围、优化对台水产品出口结构等两岸水产品贸易领域合作的政策建议.
Based on the cross-Strait trade data from 1995 to 2013 and through the relevant trade index, this paper makes a detailed study of the structural evolution of their aquatic product trade from three levels of the overall characteristics, change characteristics and marginal changes. The findings show that the trade scale of aquatic products was constantly expanding and the trade dependence was, consequently, improving steadily. However, the dependence of Taiwan on the mainland was more than that of the mainland on Taiwan. The signing of ECFA had played a positive role in the promotion of the aquatic product trade between the two sides. On the other hand, the export structure of the aquatic products to Taiwan tended to be decentral- ized while the import structure of products tended to be more concentrated. The aquatic product trade between the two sides was dominated by inter-industry complement and the inter-industry trade was the main reason for the promotion of the growth of the cross-Strait aquatic product trade. The paper also puts forward some policy proposals on the cross-Strait product trade coopera- tion in increasing the aquatic products in product list under the early harvest in ECFA and optimizing the export structure of the aquatic products to Taiwan market.