中文摘要：

随着全球生态危机加剧,森林的生态保护功能日益突出,以保护森林资源为名的林产品贸易保护甚嚣尘上。林产品贸易究竟有利于森林资源保护还是导致森林资源减少？文章以人均木材消耗作为森林资源的压力指标,根据世界上61个国家2010年的相关截面数据,运用多元线性回归模型,对影响木材消耗的因素进行了实证分析。结果表明：林产品出口贸易与木材消耗的关系为负向,有利于减少木材消耗;林产品进口贸易与木材消耗的关系为正向,但相较于使用本国木材来说更有利于减少木材消耗。通过研究得到林产品贸易有利于减少木材消耗进而有利于保护森林的结论,进而提出国际社会应推进林产品贸易自由化,减少林产品贸易壁垒,鼓励林产品贸易。

英文摘要：

With the global increasingly serious ecological crisis, the forest ecological and environmental functions have become more and more prominent, for protecting the forest resources, forest products trade protection cause a temporary clamor. Did the forest products trade help to protect forest resources, or it reduce forest resources？ With the per capita wood consumption as the pressure index of forest resources, based on 61 countries＇ cross-sec- tion data in 2010, this paper analyses the factors that affect wood consumption by using multiple linear regression models. The result shows that the relationship between forest products export trade and wood consumption is nega- tive, so forest products export trade helps to reduce wood consumption, and the impact of forest products import trade on wood consumption is positive, but compared with the use of native wood, forest products import trade is more conducive to reduce wood consumption. According to the result, the forest products trade is conducive to re- duce wood consumption and then helps to protect forest resources, so this paper puts forward the international community should promote the forest products trade liberalization, reduce the forest products trade barriers, and encourage free forest products trade.