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中文摘要：
依据晋陕峡谷区15个气象站点1961—2012年的气温和降水资料，应用趋势分析法、Mann—ken—dall检验、z指数法等对该地气候变化和旱涝趋势进行分析。结果表明：1）近52a来，晋陕峡谷区气候暖干化趋势明显，年平均气温呈波动上升趋向（0．278qC／10a），气温空间分布差异明显。2）降水呈现波动递减趋势（12．54mm／10a），降水空间分布呈纬向变化规律。3）气温突变后，涝灾比重迅速下降，”正常”年份和旱灾的比重均有所增加。
英文摘要：
According to the temperature and precipitation data in 1961 -2012 from 15 meteorological stations in Shanxi- Shaanxi gorge, we applied the trend analysis, Mann- kendall mutation test, and Z index methods to analyze the climatic change and drought - flood disasters in recent 52a. The results show ： （ 1 ） in recent 52a, Shanxi -Shaanxi gorge had experienced an apparent trend to climate wa1~ning and drying, and the mean annual temperatures were also witnessed a fluctuated upward trend with growth rate of 0. 278~C/10a. Spatial differences were significant in the field of temperature. （2） Precipitation was witnessed a fluctuated decreasing trend with the rate of 12.54mm/10a. Besides, it had also appeared roughly zonal disciplinarian in precipitation spatial dis- tribution. （3）After the temperature mutation, the scale of flood disaster decreased, while the scale of ＂normal＂ year and drought disaster increased at the same time.
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