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中文摘要：
文章对用工荒问题的成因进行了总结与归纳,并运用2005-2013年的面板数据,对用工荒问题的成因进行了检验与再评。得到的结论是：我国的用工荒问题并不意味着刘易斯拐点的到来,用工荒问题之所以会产生,是因为人口波动使我国处于了伊斯特林人口波谷所致,并集中表现为年轻劳动力规模的萎缩。人口波动导致的用工荒现象警示我们,如果依旧过于依赖劳动力的投入来换取经济增长,那么人口波动引起的劳动力波动,会使我国经济也受到类似于“周期性经济危机”的不良经济波动的影响。文章最后根据所得结论提出了对策与建议。
英文摘要：
The paper summarizes the causes of labor shortage, then tests and reassesses the causes of labor shortage using the panel data from 2005 to 2013. The conclusion is that the labor shortage problem in China does not mean the emergence of Lew- is turning point, the main reason of the problem is the population fluctuations which make China in Easterlin valley of popula- tion, and the main feature of this phenomenon -is the decline of young labor force. The phenomenon of labor shortage caused by population fluctuations is a warning to us. If we are still over-dependent on the input of labor force to stimulate economic growth, the population fluctuations will result in labor force fluctuations, and China＇ s economy will also be affected by the ad- verse economic fluctuations, which is similar to the ＂cyclical economic crisis＂. Finally, the paper proposes countermeasures and suggestions based on the conclusion.
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