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中文摘要：
基于新古典经济学、经济地理学、新经济地理学以及制度因素，本文建立了产业聚集影响因素的分析框架．并利用EG系数精确计算了1988-2005年中国18个制造行业的聚集度．考察了近20年中国制造业聚集度的变动趋势，最后运用中国宏观时间序列数据检验了各个因素对产业聚集的影响。研究发现，1988-2005年中国制造业聚集度的整体水平一直呈上升趋势，产业聚集现象已经十分明显，特别是自然资源依赖度高和技术含量高的行业；产业聚集度与交通运输条件、平均企业规模、地方保护主义以及经济开放度存在长期均衡关系，并且交通运输条件的改善、平均企业规模的扩大和地方保护主义的下降．都将有利于产业聚集。
英文摘要：
This paper proposes a framework for factors affecting industrial agglomeration based on new classical economics, economic geography, new economic geography, and political factors. And then this paper measures the agglomeration degree of China＇s 18 manufacturing industries from 1988 to 2005 by using EG index. Besides, this paper tests the affecting factors＇ effects to industrial agglomeration by using China＇s macro time- series data. The results indicate that the overall agglomeration degree of China＇s manufacturing industry is quite high, especially those resource-intensive industries and hi-tech industries. China＇s industrial agglomeration degree has continuously ascended from 1988 to 2005. The empirical test reveals that industrial agglomeration, transportation condition, enterprises＇ scale, local protectionism and openness are cointegrated. It is also found that the industrial agglomeration will increases as transportation condition improves, enterprises＇ scale enlarges, and local protectionism weakens.
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