针对救市机制研究的不足,根据金融风暴发展过程中的基本事实,本文分析了代表性经济体金融危机受损程度,给出了简洁的评价指数。在此基础上,归纳比较了各个经济体的救市方案,从政府增持银行股份和提供银行信贷担保两个基本方面总结了在实践中形成的应急机制。基于上述分析和利率状态,本文估计了代表性经济体在2009年的可能状态。
Aiming at the shortage of the existing researches, the paper analyzes the economic damages brought by the financial storm to representative economies around the world and puts forward brief metrics for such damages by reference to the actualities of the financial storm. It then sums up and compares governments' bail-out policies, such as increasing the shareholding of banking equity and providing national credit guarantees. Upon the above analysis and the current interest status, the paper gives a prediction regarding the representative economies' possible trends in 2009.