要从路径依赖理论的数学推演来看,政府机构改革中存在着路径依赖规律,这就可能导致蹈入低效率路径并产生“锁定”效应,要避免“锁定”,就需要在机构改革的“理想线”上行事。以先动优势考量,OECD国家机构改革展现了一种接近理想线的规律:作为决策者,政府组织拥有掌控国家权力的绝对权威,但作为公共产品和服务提供者,政府组织只是一种选择,它可以采用商业企业所用的组织形式;现代政府组织的基本形式由“大部”+“公法行政管理部门”+“私法实体”+“其他”构成;变革的精髓在于实现从命令链控制的“政治部”向“绩效链”监督的“公共组织”转变。我国在进一步的机构改革中应该遵循这些规律而动。
According to the mathematical deduction by path dependence theory, there exist clear path dependence laws in the institutional reforms. If we cannot follow the laws, we may fall into the "locked-in" trap. In order to step on the right way, we have to begin our institutional reforms along the "ideal line". The reforms occurred in the 9 nations in OECD shows that the "near ideal line" actions are: as decision makers, a government has the right to control state authority absolute- ly; but as a public products and service providers who must select and use entrepreneur structures to improve its efficiency; the modern government structures are consisted by "large departments" + "public law administration sectors" + "private law entities" + "other forms"; the essence of the refrom lies in the transforming from the command chain to the performance chain. In the future government structure reforms, we have to obey these rules so as to avoid detours.